For some major league ballplayers, past injuries and limited track record hinder overall projected value. We decided to take another look at the consensus projections this year, adjusting them for value on a per-at-bat basis.
Here are the players who can’t muster more than 400 at bats when the projections are aggregated, but whose value would shoot through the roof should luck and opportunity collide. These are players who may be poor bets to actually play every day this season, but could be decent rides through stretches of the season. They could also be good in H2H formats for that reason.
Of course, we had to anchor this team with Rich Harden.
Also, a special note on Colorado Rockies prospect 2B Eric Young. Amazingly, he made our Top 150 list a couple weeks ago despite only being projected for 371 at-bats (which is probably an optimistic total). He’s certainly not the best prospect in the world, not on Baseball America’s Top 100 list, but his tremendous speed and reasonable plate discipline translates to potential monster fantasy value. He’s projected for having 31 steals this season, and given 550 at bats, his adjusted projected value would compare to that of Adrian Gonzalez, Shane Victorino, or Garrett Atkins. He might be a big statistical quirk, but then again, what if he’s not?
