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The Market Report: Finding Advantages Using CBS Fantasy Baseball Rankings

Average Draft Position, Intelligence Reports, Rankings, The Market Report

The Market Report is a weekly analysis of player valuations in the fantasy marketplace in an effort to find undervalued commodities.

By Andrew Gephardt

It’s time for the final installment in our series in which we’ve analyzed the pre-set rankings provided by popular fantasy baseball sites. This week let’s compare CBS’s rankings to those of Mock Draft Central.

Here are the greatest discrepancies between this pair of rankings:

10 Hitters Ranked Significantly Higher by CBS (by Value Difference)

  1. Joe Mauer
  2. Derek Jeter
  3. Dustin Pedroia
  4. Drew Stubbs
  5. Alcides Escobar
  6. Juan Pierre
  7. Curtis Granderson
  8. Mark DeRosa
  9. Rickie Weeks
  10. Ryan Braun


10 Hitters Ranked Significantly Higher by CBS (by Draft Position Difference)

  1. Drew Stubbs
  2. Alcides Escobar
  3. Mark DeRosa
  4. Juan Pierre
  5. Franklin Gutierrez
  6. Rickie Weeks
  7. Adrian Beltre
  8. Julio Borbon
  9. Ryan Doumit
  10. Russell Martin

22 of the 25 players ranked significantly higher by CBS were pitchers

10 Pitchers Ranked Significantly Higher by CBS (by Value Difference)

  1. Huston Street
  2. Derek Lowe
  3. Brian Wilson
  4. David Aardsma
  5. Ryan Franklin
  6. Chris Carpenter
  7. Scott Kazmir
  8. Roy Halladay
  9. Hiroki Kuroda
  10. John Maine

10 Pitchers Ranked Significantly Higher by CBS (by Draft Position Difference)

  1. Derek Lowe
  2. John Maine
  3. Hiroki Kuroda
  4. Aaron Harang
  5. Leo Nunez
  6. Joe Blanton
  7. Wade Davis
  8. Huston Street
  9. David Aardsma
  10. Scott Kazmir

10 Hitters Ranked Significantly Lower by CBS (by Value Difference)

  1. Brandon Phillips
  2. Jayson Werth
  3. Joey Votto
  4. Justin Upton
  5. Stephen Drew
  6. David Wright
  7. Aramis Ramirez
  8. Josh Hamilton
  9. Nate McLouth
  10. Carlos Pena

In a recent article on CBS Sports, one of their experts called Joey Votto "underrated." So why does CBS have him ranked lower than the masses?

10 Hitters Ranked Significantly Lower by CBS (by Draft Position Difference)

  1. Rafael Furcal
  2. Orlando Hudson
  3. Jermaine Dye
  4. Miguel Tejada
  5. Stephen Drew
  6. Jay Bruce
  7. Carlos Gonzalez
  8. Jason Kubel
  9. Brad Hawpe
  10. Brandon Phillips

10 Pitchers Ranked Significantly Lower by CBS (by Value Difference)

  1. Neftali Feliz
  2. Ricky Nolasco
  3. Bobby Jenks
  4. Edwin Jackson
  5. Brett Anderson
  6. Ted Lilly
  7. Rick Porcello
  8. Andy Pettitte
  9. Joba Chamberlain
  10. Jorge de la Rosa

5 Pitchers Ranked Significantly Lower by CBS (by Draft Position Difference)

  1. Neftali Feliz
  2. Brett Anderson
  3. Ted Lilly
  4. Rick Porcello
  5. Andy Pettitte

So what general trends do we find from these lists? First of all, CBS absolutely loves pitchers, especially closers. That final list is short for a reason. Among Mock Draft Central’s Top 200, I could only find five pitchers whom CBS ranked more than ten spots lower than did Mock Draft Central. Meanwhile, hitters like Stephen Drew rank nearly 100 spots lower on CBS. Moreover, closers are ranked higher on CBS virtually across the board (with Bobby Jenks one noticeable exception).

On the hitting side, CBS seems to value players with a mix of adequate power and speed like Jeter, Pedroia, Granderson, and Weeks. On the other hand, CBS doesn’t value players with great upside such as Justin Upton and Carlos Gonzalez as well as players coming off disappointing seasons like David Wright and Josh Hamilton.

Overall, I’m glad that most of my leagues will be using CBS as the designated site of use. After all, the rankings for CBS are in my opinion much more inaccurate than those of Yahoo or ESPN. Joey Votto and Jayson Werth outside the top 70? Brandon Phillips and Aramis Ramirez outside the top 100? Jay Bruce, Stephen Drew, and Carlos Gonzalez outside the top 200? Some of these pre-set rankings are truly absurd.

Now it goes without saying that just because a pre-set ranking has a player at a certain spot doesn’t necessarily mean that the player will get drafted relatively close to that position. Even so, one would think that there’s a far greater chance for some of these players to fall relative to leagues on other sites simply due to the lower pre-set rankings.

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5 Comments

5 Comments

  1. Millsy  •  Mar 16, 2010 @8:48 am

    While I’m decently high on Mauer, I’ve noticed that the CBS projection is incredibly optimistic about his power skills and Ichiro batting average ability. I think they project him for a .352-30-100 season, and I’ve found he goes around the 4 or 5 hole on CBS in standard drafts vs. 13 or 14 over at ESPN.

    I often find CBS projections (and their articles) strange and contradictory. I do like their fantasy platform, but they seem to be way behind others in terms of the analysis.

  2. Joey  •  Mar 16, 2010 @1:22 pm

    CBS’s early projection for Aaron Hill will tell you all you need to know about their projection systems. They actually changed it recently because it was so absurd. They seem to, for the most part, look at last year’s numbers and then add and subtract just a bit (just for the fun of it) from each category. They just come across as lazy and ultimately, ridiculous, at least in my opinion. There are so many better sources out there that I basically disregard theirs.

    Just as Andrew, I’m happy at least one of my leagues is using CBS. Even if a few of your leaguemates put any stock in CBS’s analysis and projections, then you’ll have an advantage. Brandon Phillips outside the top 100 had me laughing out loud…seriously. Bruce and C. Gonzalez outside the top 200 is just mind-boggling as well.

    I was anticipating the most these comparisons to CBS, and they didn’t disappoint.

  3. FBJ Editor  •  Mar 16, 2010 @3:11 pm

    I can’t disagree with what’s been said about CBS’ strange rankings and poor projections. One thing that I’ll add for more perspective is the fact that CBS seems to base many of its rankings on a very strange “standard” points-system league that they continually adjust to user befuddlement. That’s one of the reasons why they believe pitchers are so valuable, by the way. It’s because the experts compete in H2H points leagues where there’s a lot of credit paid to having an army of pitchers. The rankings aren’t concocted (mostly) with traditional roto leagues in mind.

  4. Paul  •  Mar 18, 2010 @10:19 am

    I have found that I agree. CBS allows me to pluck my targets out of the pile a round or two before anyone else sees their name.

  5. Zac  •  Mar 20, 2010 @12:52 pm

    I am in a CBS league, but sadly it’s an auction league where the auction is held in person, rather than over the computer. I do find some of CBS’ auction values to be very strange however. For instance, they have Evan Longoria at $37. According to LastPlayerPicked and ESPN’s player rater, he was worth $20 last year. CBS is not projecting any noticeable improvement on any of his stats. So why should he suddenly be worth $37?

    At least I know the players who I won’t be auctioning.

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    Fantasy Ball Junkie is a blog for advanced fantasy baseball enthusiasts who want to get an edge on competition. The site focuses on strategy, player evaluation, transactional analysis, bargaining theory, and all the skills integral to having a successful season. I can be reached with tips, requests, or abuse at editor@fantasyballjunkie.com

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