House Maintenence:
Last week, we finished our look at how CHONE projections judge the fantasy value of batters. For those who have followed the series from the start, we recommend taking another look. We’ve reconstructed the charts to make them easier-to-read and interactive. Bar graphs show the translated fantasy value of batters on a 10-point scale, by descending value and by draft position. Stack graphs show the relative value of batters by draft grade.
- Catcher Rankings
- First Base Rankings
- Second Base Rankings
- Shortstop Rankings
- Third Base Rankings
- Outfield Rankings
Hopefully, pitching rankings will follow soon.
Other Links Of Note In The Fantasy Baseball Universe:
- How the New York Mets’ new stadium will impact sluggers
- What stats will Chris Davis have to get to justify his ADP?
- Interesting discussion of “unbusted prospects”
- Beating me to this idea. Should you punt the catcher position?
- Play in a points league? How to target categories.
- We thought this post would get the ball rolling on Ian Stewart-is-a-sleeper talk. Waiver Sharks is on board already.
PECOTA Eye-Poppers:
Late last week, Baseball Prospectus released their weighted means spreadsheet for subscribers. Some players jump out:
- Matt Wieters ranks #2 in upside score, behind only Hanley Ramirez and just ahead of Albert Pujols, Jose Reyes, and David Wright.
- David Price is not loved quite yet by the PECOTA system. What’s more startling — a 77% probability of collapse or a 1% shot at breakout? PECOTA judges Price’s upside to be only slightly above that of Indians prospect Scott Lewis.
- Old crushes die hard. The only 2B with a better VORP score than Kelly Johnson is Chase Utley.
- Speaking of Value Over Replacement Player, exactly what does PECOTA see in the 31-year-old shortstop of the Washington Nationals? Cristian Guzman ranks #11 in overall VORP (between Lance Berkman and Manny Ramirez) and #28 in upside (right behind Miguel Cabrera). A true sleeper or has PECOTA lost its digits?